Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Hot and Quiet Here But the Tropics are Heating Up - Bonnie???

   This is what's brewing in the Caribbean. Not that impressive looking but what is now 97L should become TD #3 and then TS Bonnie within a day or so.  NHC statement after the picture.
   Meanwhile, here in Hell the heat continues unabated. It will gradually warm up the rest of the week - it'll be around 100 this weekend - more "seasonal" temps around 90 next week. I'll take it. Keep you updated when/if Bonnie officially forms. As it stands, looks like she'll take a westerly track towards S. Florida.



Per the NHC:
A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED NEAR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WESTWARD TO HISPANIOLA. 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS NOT YET
FORMED.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Alex Hits Mexico As a Cat 2


The opening salvo to the 2010 Hurricane Season did not disappoint !

Hurricane Alex made landfall tonight as a strong Category 2 Hurricane, packing sustained winds of 105mph with higher gusts and a min pressure of 947mb. Category 2 winds are between 96-110 mph on the Saffir-Simpson scale, so it was close to a Cat 3 (111-130mph).

Landfall Info: 10pm Eastern time, 110 miles south of the US border in a sparsely populated area of Mexico. "ALEX WAS THE FIRST CATEGORY TWO...AND THE STRONGEST...HURRICANE TO OCCUR IN JUNE SINCE ALMA OF 1966" (NOAA)

Impressive eyewall presentation on IR satellite (above) and radar: 


As it moves west into mountainous terrain Alex will weaken rapidly and dissipate. Main threat now is flooding, up to 20 inches possible if/when it stalls. Stay tuned for the next one.