Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Hot and Quiet Here But the Tropics are Heating Up - Bonnie???

   This is what's brewing in the Caribbean. Not that impressive looking but what is now 97L should become TD #3 and then TS Bonnie within a day or so.  NHC statement after the picture.
   Meanwhile, here in Hell the heat continues unabated. It will gradually warm up the rest of the week - it'll be around 100 this weekend - more "seasonal" temps around 90 next week. I'll take it. Keep you updated when/if Bonnie officially forms. As it stands, looks like she'll take a westerly track towards S. Florida.



Per the NHC:
A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED NEAR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WESTWARD TO HISPANIOLA. 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS NOT YET
FORMED.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.