This is what's brewing in the Caribbean. Not that impressive looking but what is now 97L should become TD #3 and then TS Bonnie within a day or so. NHC statement after the picture.
Meanwhile, here in Hell the heat continues unabated. It will gradually warm up the rest of the week - it'll be around 100 this weekend - more "seasonal" temps around 90 next week. I'll take it. Keep you updated when/if Bonnie officially forms. As it stands, looks like she'll take a westerly track towards S. Florida.
Per the NHC:
A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED NEAR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WESTWARD TO HISPANIOLA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS NOT YET FORMED. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... 60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.