Saturday, February 5, 2011

Winter Storm Alert - Frigid Cold Alert - Warmth Alert?

The week ahead: 

Rain Monday Night/Tuesday AM followed by a colder air mass.

Potential MAJOR Winter Storm on Thursday - details will of course be
up in the air until we get closer. And yes, that was a weather pun.

COLD is coming behind the storm. End of the week we might see a day
when we do not get above freezing with lows in the low teens. If we have
snow on the ground we could have one night (Friday) with lows in the single digits.

All signs point to a pattern shift starting week after - once the cold high moves out
we say goodbye to trough in the East - i.e. warmer weather and less storminess
_________________________________________________________
This is how one global model (literally the raw output so take it with a grain
of salt) sees the upcoming week in terms of temps and precip.
 
FORECAST FOR: RUQ <--- Smallisbury Airport   LAT=  35.65 LON=  -80.52 ELE=   774

                                            12Z FEB05
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000 
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500 
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK 
SAT 12Z 05-FEB   2.0     8.7    1013      99      90    0.00     566     556    
SAT 18Z 05-FEB   7.0     6.5    1007      96      12    0.07     561     555    
SUN 00Z 06-FEB   5.1     3.0    1008      80      11    0.01     556     550    
SUN 06Z 06-FEB   0.0     2.8    1013      81      11    0.00     558     547    
SUN 12Z 06-FEB  -1.7     3.1    1015      82       7    0.00     559     546    
SUN 18Z 06-FEB   9.2     1.6    1016      50       4    0.00     560     547    
MON 00Z 07-FEB   3.4     1.8    1016      83      38    0.00     561     548    
MON 06Z 07-FEB   0.3     3.1    1016      91      32    0.00     560     546    
MON 12Z 07-FEB  -1.5     3.2    1016      93      47    0.00     558     545    
MON 18Z 07-FEB  12.3     3.1    1012      49      39    0.00     557     547    
TUE 00Z 08-FEB   7.7     2.0    1007      72      74    0.00     550     545    
TUE 06Z 08-FEB   5.4    -1.2    1008      86      62    0.03     540     534    
TUE 12Z 08-FEB   0.4    -4.0    1016      61       7    0.00     551     539    
TUE 18Z 08-FEB   5.9    -6.3    1019      39      16    0.00     553     538    
WED 00Z 09-FEB   1.6    -6.0    1022      54      46    0.00     553     535    
WED 06Z 09-FEB  -2.7    -6.5    1026      62      25    0.00     557     536    
WED 12Z 09-FEB  -4.3    -5.4    1029      62      45    0.00     558     535    
WED 18Z 09-FEB   4.7    -3.7    1026      41      45    0.00     560     539    
THU 00Z 10-FEB   0.1    -2.7    1024      75      43    0.00     560     541    
THU 06Z 10-FEB   1.7    -2.7    1022      69      81    0.01     558     541    
THU 12Z 10-FEB  -1.2    -1.8    1016      94      99    0.60     555     542    
THU 18Z 10-FEB  -2.0    -4.0    1011      88      86    0.61     549     541    
FRI 00Z 11-FEB  -6.5    -3.8    1013      89      35    0.07     552     542    
FRI 06Z 11-FEB  -8.8    -4.4    1016      89      30    0.00     553     541    
FRI 12Z 11-FEB -11.7    -5.3    1017      88      48    0.00     551     538    
FRI 18Z 11-FEB   1.0    -6.2    1017      72      39    0.00     548     535    
SAT 00Z 12-FEB  -2.9    -5.5    1016      90      25    0.00     546     533    
SAT 06Z 12-FEB  -7.1    -4.7    1017      91       6    0.00     543     529    
SAT 12Z 12-FEB -10.0    -5.4    1020      78      11    0.00     544     528