Thursday, July 3, 2014

Hurricane Arthur: (Quick) NC Visit

Folks at the coast will be dealing with a strengthening Category 2 Hurricane Arthur. Outer Banks should bear the brunt of it as usual and flooding and lots of beach erosion looks definite as you can see the ominous approach. However, it should lift / move quickly NE as it nears the coast.


Negligible impact here in the Piedmont as we are squeezed between Arthur's air flow and the approaching cold front.
 Last point, latest satellite shows eyewall like feature but that could be a trick of dry air or banding. Will be interesting to see. Very warm water to fuel the fire. 

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Tropics Firing Up: Soon Near You




NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 29 2014

corrected tropical depression development status

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low
pressure system located about 230 miles east of St. Augustine,
Florida, is gradually becoming better defined as it moves slowly
southward to southwestward. Although upper-level winds are only
marginally favorable, a tropical depression is expected to form
during the next day or two. However, the system's proximity to dry
air could inhibit significant development until environmental
conditions become more conducive by late Tuesday while the low
meanders offshore of the Florida east coast.  The Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft that was scheduled to investigate the
disturbance this afternoon has been canceled, and the flight has
been rescheduled for Monday morning, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
Latest Infrared (Not Typical Coloring) from GOES:
 


Tuesday, April 29, 2014

PENNWEATHER:TEMPERATURE DIFFERENTIAL: Collision Course?

PENNWEATHER:TEMPERATURE DIFFERENTIAL: Collision Course?: Interesting forecast discussion by the National Weather Service office in Greenville-Spartanburg that covers our area. Severe weathe...

Collision Course?




Interesting forecast discussion by the National Weather Service office in Greenville-Spartanburg that covers our area. Severe weather possible several times this week. According to the National Weather Service we could be looking at nighttime severe storms as well which obviously pose more danger when people are asleep and not tuning into the weather happenings because -they're sleeping.

This is part of the discussion, go to NWS for the full scientific forecast discussion and get your weather nerd on after picture time.



SYNOPSIS...
A WET AND STORMY PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY COOL AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.

I particularly like the collision course wording below, hence the title

Short term /Monday night through Wednesday night/... as of 235 PM Sunday...nothing in the new guidance to change earlier thinking that we are on a collision course with a very wet and very stormy pattern during the late Monday to Wednesday time frame. Important details such as the timing of enhanced severe thunderstorm threats...and storm total rainfall...still remain in doubt.


Sunday, March 23, 2014

Spring BUST and BOMB?

Spring Blizzard Threatens Eastern New England, Atlantic Canada



Chances fizzling here for anything appreciable as nor'easter bombs up - in the nor'east.



Hilarious video by Bernie Rayno on the accuweather site right now. Check it out.